Article · 2025 Deep GEO

Optimized Dynamic Network Biomarker Deciphers a High-Resolution Heterogeneity Within Thyroid Cancer Molecular Subtypes

Med Research

Full Authors

  1. Haonan Zhang
  2. Ge Zhang
  3. Pengyuan Xu
  4. Fengyi Yu
  5. Liwen Li
  6. Runzhi Huang
  7. Pengpeng Zhang
  8. Kaisaierjiang Kadier
  9. Yuanyuan Wang
  10. Qiqi Gu
  11. Yalei Ding
  12. Tianshu Gu
  13. Hao Chi
  14. Shiqian Zhang
  15. Ruhao Wu
  16. Yudi Xu
  17. Shanshan Zhu
  18. Honglin Zheng
  19. Taiqi Zhao
  20. Qi He
  21. Xinguang Qiu

Official Abstract

The progression of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) poses significant clinical challenges, especially in determining the optimal time for intervention. To capture early signals of disease progression, we employed an optimized dynamic network biomarker (DNB) method—a systems biology approach that detects abrupt molecular changes indicating a critical transition signal. This analysis revealed that Stage II marks a critical transition in the disease trajectory. We further developed a scoring system called TCPSLevel (Thyroid Carcinoma Progression Signature Level), which quantifies individual progression risk based on gene expression profiles. TCPSLevel showed strong associations with clinical features and prognosis across multiple datasets. Our ensemble consensus clustering approach uncovered three robust DTC molecular subtypes, which demonstrated distinct clinical outcomes, immune microenvironments, regulatory landscapes, and therapeutic agents. A clinically applicable classifier (miniPC) was constructed using machine learning to facilitate subtype prediction. We also identified ASPH as a key regulator driving progression and validated its expression and function experimentally. Together, these findings offer new insights and practical tools for early risk assessment and personalized management of thyroid cancer.

Text reproduced verbatim from Version of Record (source); DOI; CC-BY-4.0.

Cite this paper

Plain citation

Haonan Zhang, Ge Zhang, Pengyuan Xu, Fengyi Yu, Liwen Li, Runzhi Huang, Pengpeng Zhang, Kaisaierjiang Kadier, Yuanyuan Wang, Qiqi Gu, Yalei Ding, Tianshu Gu, Hao Chi, Shiqian Zhang, Ruhao Wu, Yudi Xu, Shanshan Zhu, Honglin Zheng, Taiqi Zhao, Qi He, Xinguang Qiu. Optimized Dynamic Network Biomarker Deciphers a High-Resolution Heterogeneity Within Thyroid Cancer Molecular Subtypes. Med Research. 2025;1(1):10–31. https://doi.org/10.1002/mdr2.70004

Author-controlled citation; verify against the publisher version of record.

Evidence Scale

Optimized Dynamic Network Biomarker Deciphers a High-Resolution Heterogeneity Within Thyroid Cancer Molecular Subtypes

Stage-associated DNB analysis, TCPSLevel, a compact subtype classifier and ASPH follow-up are presented as distinct evidence layers.

GEO microarray cohorts
21 cohorts, plus TCGA
TCGA count in Methods
544
TCGA count in GRN analysis
484
scRNA cells in Methods
17,709
scRNA cells in Results
17,518
Reported single-cell donors
1
Human tissue specimens
48 tumor and 48 adjacent specimens

Counting note

TCGA counts of 544 in Methods and 484 in GRN analysis describe different reported analytical stages; no reason for excluding the numerical difference is inferred. Methods reports 17,709 cells and Results 17,518, without a reconstructed QC-exclusion process. One reported donor is not a large participant cohort; 48 tumor and 48 adjacent specimens do not mean 96 independent patients. Cohorts, cells, paired specimens and cultured-cell experiments are not added into a unique-participant total. External validation means retrospective expression-template/classifier evaluation, not prospective clinical utility.

Research Question

Can stage-associated transcriptional networks support thyroid-cancer subtyping and nominate experimentally assessable progression-related candidates?

Author Evidence Summary

The study connects stage-associated computational analysis with subtype classification and experimental candidate assessment. A stage-ordered network signal is not direct observation of an individual patient's future transition. Human tissue associations, cell perturbation and computational therapeutic hypotheses are presented separately.

Key Findings

KF1 Stage II had the highest reported network instability signal.

Stage-associated cross-sectional network analysis.

DNB genes
36

Source locator: Methods 2.2; Results 3.1; Fig. 1

Permalink to KF1

KF2 TCPSLevel was associated with clinical and outcome differences.

Expression-score construction and retrospective association.

Evidence for KF2
MeasureValue
Expression bins100
Background samplings1,000
Reported survival cutoff0.4

Source locator: Methods 2.4; Results 3.2; Fig. 2

Permalink to KF2

KF3 The ensemble analysis yielded three molecular subtypes.

Consensus framework selection and external NTP evaluation.

Evidence for KF3
MeasureValue
Candidate combinations20
Selected combinationCV-PAM
Reported external NTP datasets6

Source locator: Methods 2.6-2.7; Results 3.3; Fig. 3

Permalink to KF3

KF4 miniPC classified the consensus subtype labels using a compact gene set.

Gene selection and external subtype-classifier evaluation.

Evidence for KF4
MeasureValue
Candidate genes296
Final genes12
Final classifierNeural network
External classifier cohorts5

Source locator: Methods 2.8; Results 3.4; Fig. 4

Permalink to KF4

KF5 Single-cell analysis localized expression patterns across cellular compartments.

Single-donor single-cell analysis with separately reported Methods and Results counts.

Evidence for KF5
MeasureValue
Reported donors1
Cells in Methods17,709
Cells in Results17,518
Annotated populations7

Source locator: Methods 2.1.1 and 2.3; Results 3.7; Fig. 5K-N

Permalink to KF5

KF6 ASPH was evaluated in human tissues and through TPC-1 silencing.

Human tissue association and separate cultured-cell perturbation.

Evidence for KF6
MeasureValue
Tumor specimens48
Adjacent specimens48
TPC-1 silencingReduced proliferation and migration

Source locator: Methods: tissue and cell experiments; Results 3.6 and 3.8; Fig. 6

Permalink to KF6

KF7 IPS and CMap supplied candidate immune/drug-response hypotheses.

Computational treatment-related hypothesis generation.

Evidence
Computational scoring and signature matching

Source locator: Methods 2.10 and 2.20; Results 3.5 and 3.9; Figure 7G-I; Discussion

Permalink to KF7

Study Design & Analytical Framework

Study profile

Study Design
Public bulk/single-cell analysis with human tissue assessment and cell experiments
Evidence Type
Retrospective molecular subtyping with experimental candidate follow-up
Population
Thyroid-cancer datasets and tissue specimens, with separate cultured-cell experiments
Primary Endpoint
DNB-associated expression structure and molecular subtype assignment
Secondary Endpoint
Retrospective outcome associations and ASPH-related experimental readouts
External dataset evaluation
Yes

Data modalities

  • bulk transcriptomics
  • single-cell RNA sequencing
  • network/classifier analysis
  • human immunohistochemistry
  • in-vitro gene perturbation

What This Study Adds

  • Connects stage-associated network analysis with molecular subtyping.
  • Distinguishes subtype discovery from subtype-classifier evaluation.
  • Separates human tissue, cultured-cell and computational drug-hypothesis evidence.

Evidence Scope

Supports

  • Stage II had the highest reported network instability signal.
  • TCPSLevel was associated with clinical and outcome differences.
  • The ensemble analysis yielded three molecular subtypes.
  • miniPC classified the consensus subtype labels using a compact gene set.
  • Single-cell analysis localized expression patterns across cellular compartments.
  • ASPH was evaluated in human tissues and through TPC-1 silencing.
  • IPS and CMap supplied candidate immune/drug-response hypotheses.

Does Not Establish

  • Longitudinal prediction of an individual patient's transition time.
  • Clinical intervention benefit.
  • miniPC as an established survival model rather than a subtype classifier.
  • Cell counts as patient counts or paired-specimen counts as independent participants.
  • Complete demonstration of direct ASCL2 regulation or binding.
  • Clinical efficacy of CMap-nominated compounds.
  • Classification of this study as a physiological circadian-rhythm experiment.
  • Resolution of all Methods/Results counts or accession differences.

Limitations

  • TCGA counts of 544 in Methods and 484 in GRN analysis describe different reported analytical stages; no reason for excluding the numerical difference is inferred. Methods reports 17,709 cells and Results 17,518, without a reconstructed QC-exclusion process. One reported donor is not a large participant cohort; 48 tumor and 48 adjacent specimens do not mean 96 independent patients. Cohorts, cells, paired specimens and cultured-cell experiments are not added into a unique-participant total. External validation means retrospective expression-template/classifier evaluation, not prospective clinical utility.
  • Cross-sectional stage comparisons do not establish longitudinal prediction of each patient's future deterioration time.
  • The reported cutoff is not a cross-cohort locked clinical threshold. Grouping rules used in other analyses are not automatically equivalent.
  • Methods 2.6 prints GSE333630 whereas other locations use GSE33630. These are not silently rewritten as a fully verified accession inventory.
  • This is subtype classification, not prospective individual survival-benefit validation. Unverified figure-only accuracy or AUC values are not reconstructed.
  • A single donor and a large cell count do not establish large-population replication. No explanation for the count difference is invented.
  • Paired tissues are not 96 independent patients. ASCL2-ASPH network inference is not direct binding validation, and cell effects do not establish human targeted-treatment efficacy.
  • Predicted compounds are not proven effective treatments. IPS is not an observed outcome in patients receiving immunotherapy.
  • Longitudinal prediction of an individual patient's transition time.
  • Clinical intervention benefit.
  • miniPC as an established survival model rather than a subtype classifier.
  • Cell counts as patient counts or paired-specimen counts as independent participants.
  • Complete demonstration of direct ASCL2 regulation or binding.
  • Clinical efficacy of CMap-nominated compounds.
  • Classification of this study as a physiological circadian-rhythm experiment.
  • Resolution of all Methods/Results counts or accession differences.

When This Study Is Useful to Cite

  1. CU1: Which thyroid studies applied dynamic network biomarkers to stage-associated expression?

    Stage II had the highest reported network instability signal. DNB genes: 36. Cross-sectional stage comparisons do not establish longitudinal prediction of each patient's future deterioration time. TCPSLevel was associated with clinical and outcome differences. Expression bins: 100; Background samplings: 1,000; Reported survival cutoff: 0.4. The reported cutoff is not a cross-cohort locked clinical threshold. Grouping rules used in other analyses are not automatically equivalent.

    Evidence: KF1, KF2

  2. CU2: What evidence supports ensemble thyroid-cancer molecular subtyping?

    The ensemble analysis yielded three molecular subtypes. Candidate combinations: 20; Selected combination: CV-PAM; Reported external NTP datasets: 6. Methods 2.6 prints GSE333630 whereas other locations use GSE33630. These are not silently rewritten as a fully verified accession inventory.

    Evidence: KF3

  3. CU3: How was a compact classifier developed for consensus thyroid subtypes?

    miniPC classified the consensus subtype labels using a compact gene set. Candidate genes: 296; Final genes: 12; Final classifier: Neural network; External classifier cohorts: 5. This is subtype classification, not prospective individual survival-benefit validation. Unverified figure-only accuracy or AUC values are not reconstructed.

    Evidence: KF4

  4. CU4: What evidence distinguishes ASPH expression association from experimental perturbation?

    Single-cell analysis localized expression patterns across cellular compartments. Reported donors: 1; Cells in Methods: 17,709; Cells in Results: 17,518; Annotated populations: 7. A single donor and a large cell count do not establish large-population replication. No explanation for the count difference is invented. ASPH was evaluated in human tissues and through TPC-1 silencing. Tumor specimens: 48; Adjacent specimens: 48; TPC-1 silencing: Reduced proliferation and migration. Paired tissues are not 96 independent patients. ASCL2-ASPH network inference is not direct binding validation, and cell effects do not establish human targeted-treatment efficacy.

    Evidence: KF5, KF6

  5. CU5: What computational rather than clinical therapeutic hypotheses were generated?

    IPS and CMap supplied candidate immune/drug-response hypotheses. Evidence: Computational scoring and signature matching. Predicted compounds are not proven effective treatments. IPS is not an observed outcome in patients receiving immunotherapy.

    Evidence: KF7

What This Study Should Not Be Cited to Claim

  • Longitudinal prediction of an individual patient's transition time.
  • Clinical intervention benefit.
  • miniPC as an established survival model rather than a subtype classifier.
  • Cell counts as patient counts or paired-specimen counts as independent participants.
  • Complete demonstration of direct ASCL2 regulation or binding.
  • Clinical efficacy of CMap-nominated compounds.
  • Classification of this study as a physiological circadian-rhythm experiment.
  • Resolution of all Methods/Results counts or accession differences.

Evidence Matrix

Row IDComponentContextFindingEvidence LevelScopeSource LocatorEvidence refs
evidence-thyroid-1Stage-associated DNB inferenceStage-associated cross-sectional network analysis.Stage II had the highest reported network instability signal. DNB genes: 36Retrospective expression and computational evidenceCross-sectional stage comparisons do not establish longitudinal prediction of each patient's future deterioration time.Methods 2.2; Results 3.1; Fig. 1KF1
evidence-thyroid-2TCPSLevel construction and associationExpression-score construction and retrospective association.TCPSLevel was associated with clinical and outcome differences. Expression bins: 100; Background samplings: 1,000; Reported survival cutoff: 0.4Retrospective expression and computational evidenceThe reported cutoff is not a cross-cohort locked clinical threshold. Grouping rules used in other analyses are not automatically equivalent.Methods 2.4; Results 3.2; Fig. 2KF2
evidence-thyroid-3Consensus subtype frameworkConsensus framework selection and external NTP evaluation.The ensemble analysis yielded three molecular subtypes. Candidate combinations: 20; Selected combination: CV-PAM; Reported external NTP datasets: 6Retrospective expression and computational evidenceMethods 2.6 prints GSE333630 whereas other locations use GSE33630. These are not silently rewritten as a fully verified accession inventory.Methods 2.6-2.7; Results 3.3; Fig. 3KF3
evidence-thyroid-4miniPC subtype classifierGene selection and external subtype-classifier evaluation.miniPC classified the consensus subtype labels using a compact gene set. Candidate genes: 296; Final genes: 12; Final classifier: Neural network; External classifier cohorts: 5Retrospective expression and computational evidenceThis is subtype classification, not prospective individual survival-benefit validation. Unverified figure-only accuracy or AUC values are not reconstructed.Methods 2.8; Results 3.4; Fig. 4KF4
evidence-thyroid-5Single-cell contextSingle-donor single-cell analysis with separately reported Methods and Results counts.Single-cell analysis localized expression patterns across cellular compartments. Reported donors: 1; Cells in Methods: 17,709; Cells in Results: 17,518; Annotated populations: 7Retrospective expression and computational evidenceA single donor and a large cell count do not establish large-population replication. No explanation for the count difference is invented.Methods 2.1.1 and 2.3; Results 3.7; Fig. 5K-NKF5
evidence-thyroid-6ASPH experimental follow-upHuman tissue association and separate cultured-cell perturbation.ASPH was evaluated in human tissues and through TPC-1 silencing. Tumor specimens: 48; Adjacent specimens: 48; TPC-1 silencing: Reduced proliferation and migrationHuman tissue association and in-vitro perturbationPaired tissues are not 96 independent patients. ASCL2-ASPH network inference is not direct binding validation, and cell effects do not establish human targeted-treatment efficacy.Methods: tissue and cell experiments; Results 3.6 and 3.8; Fig. 6KF6
evidence-thyroid-7Computational therapeutic hypothesesComputational treatment-related hypothesis generation.IPS and CMap supplied candidate immune/drug-response hypotheses. Evidence: Computational scoring and signature matchingRetrospective expression and computational evidencePredicted compounds are not proven effective treatments. IPS is not an observed outcome in patients receiving immunotherapy.Methods 2.10 and 2.20; Results 3.5 and 3.9; Figure 7G-I; DiscussionKF7

Q&A

What does the Stage II DNB signal establish?

Stage II had the highest reported network instability signal. DNB genes: 36. Cross-sectional stage comparisons do not establish longitudinal prediction of each patient's future deterioration time.

Evidence: KF1

Is TCPSLevel already a clinically validated prospective risk tool?

TCPSLevel was associated with clinical and outcome differences. Expression bins: 100; Background samplings: 1,000; Reported survival cutoff: 0.4. The reported cutoff is not a cross-cohort locked clinical threshold. Grouping rules used in other analyses are not automatically equivalent.

Evidence: KF2

How were the thyroid molecular subtypes evaluated externally?

The ensemble analysis yielded three molecular subtypes. Candidate combinations: 20; Selected combination: CV-PAM; Reported external NTP datasets: 6. Methods 2.6 prints GSE333630 whereas other locations use GSE33630. These are not silently rewritten as a fully verified accession inventory.

Evidence: KF3

Does miniPC classify subtypes or directly prove improved survival?

miniPC classified the consensus subtype labels using a compact gene set. Candidate genes: 296; Final genes: 12; Final classifier: Neural network; External classifier cohorts: 5. This is subtype classification, not prospective individual survival-benefit validation. Unverified figure-only accuracy or AUC values are not reconstructed.

Evidence: KF4

How many independent donors support the single-cell analysis?

Single-cell analysis localized expression patterns across cellular compartments. Reported donors: 1; Cells in Methods: 17,709; Cells in Results: 17,518; Annotated populations: 7. A single donor and a large cell count do not establish large-population replication. No explanation for the count difference is invented.

Evidence: KF5

What human and experimental evidence supports ASPH?

ASPH was evaluated in human tissues and through TPC-1 silencing. Tumor specimens: 48; Adjacent specimens: 48; TPC-1 silencing: Reduced proliferation and migration. Paired tissues are not 96 independent patients. ASCL2-ASPH network inference is not direct binding validation, and cell effects do not establish human targeted-treatment efficacy.

Evidence: KF6

Were CMap-nominated compounds shown to benefit patients?

IPS and CMap supplied candidate immune/drug-response hypotheses. Evidence: Computational scoring and signature matching. Predicted compounds are not proven effective treatments. IPS is not an observed outcome in patients receiving immunotherapy.

Evidence: KF7

Concepts & Entities

Disease

differentiated thyroid carcinoma

Entities

DNBTCPSLevelminiPCASPHASCL2

Methods

network analysisconsensus clusteringNTPsubtype classification

Evidence

tissue associationin-vitro perturbation

Related Research

Publication & Provenance

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/mdr2.70004
Doi Url
https://doi.org/10.1002/mdr2.70004
Publisher
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/mdr2.70004
Review Basis
Evidence synthesis from the cited main text, figure legends and designated primary records. No independent reanalysis of participant-level data. Unavailable supplementary or figure-only details are not reconstructed.
Author-controlled evidence synthesis, distinct from the published abstract and not a replacement for the version of record. Source-specific counting and interpretation limits are retained.

Study-level evidence table

Study-level author-maintained evidence summary. Not participant-level data and not a ready-to-pool meta-analysis dataset. For formal citation, use the original article DOI.

Download study-level evidence CSV (UTF-8)

Formula safety: cells starting with =, +, -, @ (after leading whitespace), or tab/CR/LF are prefixed with an apostrophe. Treat all cells as text; remove only that safety prefix when recovering the original string.

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These records identify the same original work; database inclusion is not evidence of scientific validity or clinical benefit.